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The campaign (and pundits) seem to think picking Palin will pick up disaffected Hillary voters. I doubt it. Let’s think about who the Hillary voters are. First, some are ardent feminists, furious with the rejection of a highly qualified woman. It’s unlikely that they’ll go for a pro-life, relative3ly unqualified candidate. A second bloc are those who don’t want to vote for black. They’ll vote for McCain (or more accurately against Obama) in any case, regardless of the VP.