A new national survey is revealing deep skepticism among Americans over the assassination attempts targeting President Donald Trump, with nearly one-third of respondents believing at least one of the incidents was staged.

The poll, conducted by YouGov between April 28 and May 4, surveyed 1,000 Americans about three separate assassination attempts against Trump: the July 2024 shooting at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania; the September 2024 incident at Trump International Golf Club in Florida; and the April 2026 security breach at the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner in Washington, D.C.

Respondents were asked whether they believed the incidents were “true,” “false,” or “not sure.”

According to the survey, only 38% of Americans said they believe all three assassination attempts were authentic. Meanwhile, an average of 54% either believed one or more incidents were staged or said they were unsure.

The survey also revealed a sharp political divide.

Among Democrats, 21% said they believed all three assassination attempts were staged, compared to 11% of independents and just 3% of Republicans. Republicans were the most likely to believe the attacks were real, with 47% saying all three incidents were authentic.

Questions and conspiracy theories have especially surrounded the most recent incident at the White House Correspondents’ dinner on April 25. Authorities say 31-year-old Cole Tomas Allen allegedly attempted to breach a security checkpoint at the Washington Hilton while armed with firearms and knives.

Federal prosecutors charged Allen with four felonies, including attempting to assassinate the president. He pleaded not guilty earlier this week.

Almost immediately after the incident, social media speculation erupted, with some suggesting without evidence that the attack had been staged for political purposes. One theory claimed the event was connected to Trump’s plans for a new ballroom project at the White House.

Rep. Jasmine Crockett echoed the skepticism shared by some online users shortly after the incident.

“Has there ever been a president have this many close ‘attempts’ on their life?” Crockett wrote on Threads. “Maybe it’s lax gun laws, maybe it’s lack of mental health funding, or maybe it’s fake … who knows …”

The White House strongly rejected such claims.

“Anyone who thinks President Trump staged his own assassination attempts is a complete moron,” a White House spokesperson told The Washington Post.

Despite ongoing online speculation, there is no evidence suggesting the assassination attempts were fabricated. The July 2024 Butler rally shooting left firefighter Corey Comperatore dead and injured several others, including Trump himself.

The survey highlights the growing distrust many Americans have toward institutions, media narratives, and political events — a trend that continues to shape national conversations across party lines.