Everyone is assuming that Huckabee’s only chance is down south in the Bible belt. But before they get to South Carolina, where he should do well, they hit Michigan. We don’t tend to think of Michigan as an evangelical state but in 2000, 27% of the Republican primary electorate called it self part of the “religious right” and more people cited “moral values” as their main concern than any other topic. The commentators now are casting Michigan as a battle between McCain, who won it in 2000, and Romney, who grew up there, but Huckabee has a real shot.

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