{"id":501,"date":"2012-12-29T10:00:39","date_gmt":"2012-12-29T15:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/truthsyoucanuse\/?p=501"},"modified":"2012-12-26T10:14:32","modified_gmt":"2012-12-26T15:14:32","slug":"how-to-make-the-right-new-years-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/truthsyoucanuse\/2012\/12\/how-to-make-the-right-new-years-predictions.html","title":{"rendered":"How To Make the Right New Years Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"new<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

This is an excerpt from a moving essay by the Chief Rabbi of Great Britain, Lord Jonathan Sacks<\/em>.<\/p>\n

“My new year prediction is that tomorrow never knows<\/p>\n

The beginning of a new year tends to be a time for predictions. Have you peered into the crystal ball, read the runes, consulted the astrologists and listened to the soothsayers? Good. Then you know what\u2019s going to happen. My prediction, which I make with total confidence, is that total confidence in predictions is never warranted. They turn out, more often than not, to be wrong.<\/p>\n

Great Failures<\/strong><\/p>\n

Here are some of my favorites. \u201cHeavier-than-air flying machines are impossible,\u201d said Lord Kelvin, president of the Royal Society in 1895. \u201cThere is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home,\u201d said Ken Olson, president and founder of Digital Equipment, a maker of mainframes, in 1977.<\/p>\n

\u201cEverything that can be invented has been invented,\u201d said an official at the US patent office in 1899. And Charles Darwin wrote in the foreword to The Origin of Species, \u201cI see no good reasons why the views given in this volume should shock the religious sensibilities of anyone.\u201d<\/p>\n

Politics and Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Despite the many political experts, research institutes, think tanks, government and university departments, no one foresaw the bloodless end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Few foresaw the possibility of a terrorist attack like 9\/11, that changed our world.<\/p>\n

I was once present at a gathering where Bernard Lewis, the scholar of Islam, was asked to predict the outcome of a certain American foreign policy intervention. He gave a magnificent reply. \u201cI am a historian, so I only make predictions about the past. What is more, I am a retired historian, so even my past is pass\u00e9.\u201d<\/p>\n

We Know So Little<\/strong><\/p>\n

We know so much at a macro- and micro-level. We look up and see a universe of a hundred billion galaxies each of a hundred billion stars. We look down and see a human body containing a hundred trillion cells, each with a double copy of the human genome, 3.1 billion letters long, enough if transcribed to fill a library of 5,000 books.<\/p>\n

There remains one thing we do not know and will never know: What tomorrow will bring. The past, said L. P. Hartley, is a foreign country. But the future is an undiscovered one. That is why predictions so often fail. They don\u2019t even come close.<\/p>\n

Why, when even the ancient Mesopotamians could make accurate predictions about the movement of planets, are we, with all our brain-scans and neuroscience, not able to predict what people will do? Why do they so often take us by surprise?<\/p>\n

Freedom Beats Predictions<\/strong><\/p>\n

The reason is that we are free. We choose, we make mistakes, we learn. People constantly surprise us. The failure at school becomes the winner of a Nobel Prize. The leader who disappointed, suddenly shows courage and wisdom in a crisis. The driven businessman has an intimation of mortality and decides to devote the rest of his life to helping the poor.<\/p>\n

This is something science has not yet explained and perhaps never will. There are scientists who believe freedom is an illusion. But it isn\u2019t. It\u2019s what makes us human.”<\/p>\n

Compiled by\u00a0Evan Moffic<\/a>,<\/p>\n

GET YOUR FREE EBOOK: HOW TO FORGIVE EVEN WHEN IT HURTS.<\/a><\/p>\n

A HAPPY NEW YEAR TO MY READERS AND FRIENDS!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is an excerpt from a moving essay by the Chief Rabbi of Great Britain, Lord Jonathan Sacks. “My new year prediction is that tomorrow never knows The beginning of a new year tends to be a time for predictions. Have you peered into the crystal ball, read the runes, consulted the astrologists and listened…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":507,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nHow To Make the Right New Years Predictions - Truths You Can Use<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, nofollow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How To Make the Right New Years Predictions - Truths You Can Use\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is an excerpt from a moving essay by the Chief Rabbi of Great Britain, Lord Jonathan Sacks. “My new year prediction is that tomorrow never knows The beginning of a new year tends to be a time for predictions. 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His book, What Every Christian Needs to Know About the Jewishness of Jesus was a 2015 best-seller. His upcoming book of devotions\u2014Shalom for the Heart\u2014takes short biblical passages and show they way they can help us make better choices and live with fewer regrets. With Rabbi Moffic, you will find an open, accessible guide to life\u2019s deepest truths. A husband and father, he graduated from Stanford University in 2000, and was ordained a rabbi in 2006. He leads a congregation in suburban Chicago. 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