{"id":56,"date":"2008-06-03T15:35:54","date_gmt":"2008-06-03T15:35:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/06\/obamas-negotiations-with-dicta.html"},"modified":"2008-06-03T15:35:54","modified_gmt":"2008-06-03T15:35:54","slug":"obamas-negotiations-with-dicta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/06\/obamas-negotiations-with-dicta.html","title":{"rendered":"Obama&#8217;s Negotiations with Dictators, and Hillary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>How would Barack Obama deal with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad?  The first clue was in how he dealt with Hillary Clinton.<br \/>\nNo, I\u2019m not equating Hillary with Holocaust-denying thugs but this is Obama\u2019s first high profile negotiation with a tough adversary.  How\u2019d he do?<br \/>\nAt first blush, Obama\u2019s team made a number of poor negotiating moves. In Florida, the Clinton forces asked for a full seating of the delegation based on the popular vote of the unsanctioned primary. One of the cardinal rules of negotiating is to remember that at the end of the day there will be an overpowering urge to split the difference. If you want to end up at a 5, and your adversary has opened with a 10, you\u2019d better start with 1.<br \/>\nBy that logic, when Hillary asked for it all, Obama should have demanded that none of the delegation be seated.  Instead, he suggested that they seat the full delegation with half voting rights.  This is called \u201cnegotiating with yourself,\u201d though President Bush might call it \u201cappeasement.\u201d<br \/>\nBy the normal intro-to-negotiation rules, Obama made another serious error in Michigan.  Obama\u2019s campaign viewed the entire Michigan primary as illegitimate because he wasn\u2019t on the ballot.  Obama\u2019s forces proposed a 50-50 split,  in effect saying, the popular vote was irrelevant so we might as well go halvsies, almost as if the primary had never happened. Obama apparently had the votes to win on the 50-50 proposal but never forced it. Was he afraid to use his power? Bill Kristol might ask. Instead, he capitulated to a compromise (Hillary 69, Obama 59) that Hillary\u2019s people then used to prove that the delegate count did relate to the popular vote and that she was robbed of 4 delegates.<br \/>\nNegotiationg with yourself. Appeasement. Fear of using power. Obama seemed to have made a number of mistakes that would make him easy pickings for a ruthless dictator.<br \/>\nOn the other hand\u2026.<br \/>\nObama won.<br \/>\nHe maneuvered the rules meetings in a way that guaranteed his winning the nomination. Look at how he did, and you see a different picture about his negotiating skills.<br \/>\nFirst, ironically, he did not engage in direct negotiations with Hillary Clinton.  Everything was done through surrogates. When he saw an opportunity for a credible third party to take ownership of the outcome in a way that helped him, he did.  So even though the 69-59 split in Michigan was problematic for him, the fact that it was proposed by the Michigan Democratic Party \u2013 including its Hillary-supporting governor \u2013 helped tremendously.  According to press accounts, the 69-59 difference was arrived at when the party officials split the difference between Obama\u2019s 64-64 proposal and Hillary\u2019s 73-47.  Obama got a split-the-difference result, but with the imprimatur of the Michigan state party.<br \/>\nAs for Florida, you\u2019re never supposed to start with your \u201coutcome\u201d position  \u2013 unless you know the other side is going to accept it.   It turns out that the committee DID accept that proposal \u2013 unanimously \u2013 and the Obama forces undoubtedly knew they would.  This enabled them to look far more reasonable and still get what they wanted.<br \/>\nIn short, he quickly abandoned particular principles \u2013 these primaries didn\u2019t count, we  shouldn\u2019t change the rules in the middle of the game \u2013 as part of small, pragmatic compromises that got him the bigger prize   He used the assets he had, in a quiet, deft way, and ended up getting almost everything he wanted.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How would Barack Obama deal with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad? The first clue was in how he dealt with Hillary Clinton. No, I\u2019m not equating Hillary with Holocaust-denying thugs but this is Obama\u2019s first high profile negotiation with a tough adversary. How\u2019d he do? At first blush, Obama\u2019s team made a number of poor negotiating moves. In&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Obama&#039;s Negotiations with Dictators, and Hillary - Steven Waldman<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/06\/obamas-negotiations-with-dicta.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Obama&#039;s Negotiations with Dictators, and Hillary - Steven Waldman\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"How would Barack Obama deal with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad? The first clue was in how he dealt with Hillary Clinton. No, I\u2019m not equating Hillary with Holocaust-denying thugs but this is Obama\u2019s first high profile negotiation with a tough adversary. How\u2019d he do? At first blush, Obama\u2019s team made a number of poor negotiating moves. 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The first clue was in how he dealt with Hillary Clinton. No, I\u2019m not equating Hillary with Holocaust-denying thugs but this is Obama\u2019s first high profile negotiation with a tough adversary. How\u2019d he do? At first blush, Obama\u2019s team made a number of poor negotiating moves. 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He's also the author of the Founding Faith: Politics, Providence, and the Birth of Religious Freedom in America, which has been published by Random House. Before co-founding Beliefnet in 1999, Waldman was a political journalist, serving as National Editor of U.S. News & World Report and National Correspondent for Newsweek. His writings have appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Post, National Review, The Atlantic, Slate, and many others.","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/author\/swaldman"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}