{"id":476,"date":"2008-11-05T10:23:36","date_gmt":"2008-11-05T10:23:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html"},"modified":"2008-11-05T10:23:36","modified_gmt":"2008-11-05T10:23:36","slug":"the-incredible-shrinking-god-g","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html","title":{"rendered":"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/exit-polls-the-faith-factor-20.html\"> final exit polls <\/a>pointed to a stunning conclusion: one ingredient to Obama&#8217;s victory was improvement among the most devoutly religious voters.<br \/>\nObama got 43% of weekly church-goers vs. 55% for McCain.  In 2004, Bush got 61% vs. 39% for Kerry.<br \/>\nWhat this means is that Bush beat Kerry by roughly 27 million among weekly churchgoers, and McCain beat Obama by only 15 million &#8212; a stunning 12 million person shift. (Those are tentative numbers that will change as the full results come in)<br \/>\nThese are rough numbers because not all the votes have been counted yet, but that has to count as one of the most dramatic of the changes.<br \/>\nHere&#8217;s my first take on how he pulled this off:<br \/>\n<strong>How Obama Narrowed the God Gap<\/strong><br \/>\n&#8220;We worship an awesome God in the blue states,&#8221; Barack Obama declared during his 2004 Democratic convention keynote. Thunderous applause greeted that line, in part because Democrats felt frustrated that they&#8217;d been unfairly cast as a secular or even anti-religion party, and by the political dominance of religious conservatives.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\nTonight, Obama forged a New Democratic Faith Coalition. To a large degree, he was able to make such progress with these groups because of the economy. Some pro-life voters went with Obama in spite of his positions on &#8216;values issues,&#8217; not because of them.<br \/>\nBut Obama nonetheless helped ease their way to his side through a canny set of tactics and strategies unlike anything we&#8217;ve seen from Democrats in years.<br \/>\n<strong>Emphasizing His Personal Faith <\/strong><br \/>\nNo Democrat since Jimmy Carter has spoken as openly, and as often, about his personal faith. In his Call to Renewal speech in 2006, Obama chastised some Democrats &#8216;who dismiss religion in the public square as inherently irrational or intolerant, insisting on a caricature of religious Americans that paints them as fanatical, or thinking that the very word &#8220;Christian&#8221; describes one&#8217;s political opponents, not people of faith.&#8217;<br \/>\nIndeed, some of his comments would have been mocked by the left had they come out of a Republican mouth. Obama&#8217;s campaign distributed literature during the primaries that described &#8220;&#8221;That day Obama felt a beckoning of the spirit and accepted Jesus Christ into his life.&#8221; One panel on the brochure, &#8220;Called to Bring Change,&#8221; declares, &#8220;We do what we do because God is with us.&#8221; Another described his belief in &#8220;the power of prayer,&#8221; and another, labeled, &#8220;Called to Christ,&#8221; stated, &#8220;Kneeling beneath that cross on the South Side, I felt I heard God&#8217;s spirit beckoning me. I submitted myself to His will, and dedicated myself to discovering His truth and carrying out His works.&#8221;<br \/>\nThis had two purposes: one was reaching out to religious voters. The other was to show him as a mainstream, culturally conservative person. Obama might not be able to bowl, but he sure could pray.<br \/>\n<strong>The Rise of the Religious Left <\/strong><br \/>\nObama&#8217;s religious outreach efforts were orders of magnitude greater than John Kerry&#8217;s. The campaign&#8217;s religious outreach arm has initiated 950 &#8220;American values&#8221; house parties. Initially, the campaign had hoped for a significant turnout of moderate evangelicals, especially among the young. That apparently happened in a few key states such as Ohio and Indiana.<br \/>\nJust as significant, the efforts paid dividends among Mainline Protestants, a heretofore Republican-leaning group that apparently went for Obama. Senator Obama&#8217;s frequent discussions of his personal faith seemed targeted at evangelicals but may have given comfort as well to traditional mainliners. &#8220;Obama planting seeds in the evangelical garden has borne fruit in the mainline garden,&#8221; says Mara Vanderslice, founder of a progressive religious group Matthew25 and religious outreach director for John Kerry&#8217;s 2004 campaign.<br \/>\nJust as important, a bevy of &#8216;religious left&#8217; groups sprouted up since 2004 which ran ads and organized grass roots activity in battleground states. Among the newcomers on the scene: Catholics United, Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good, Mattew25, Faith in Public Life, Network of Spiritual Progressives, and Red Letter Christians.<br \/>\n<strong>Abortion Reduction <\/strong><br \/>\nAs the campaign went on it became clear that many moderate evangelicals and Catholics agreed with Obama on the economy and the Iraq war but couldn&#8217;t get past his consistently pro-choice views. As conservatives hammered Obama on his opposition to the born alive bill, he could see moderate evangelicals and possibly Catholics slipping away. At the urging of progressive pro-life activists, the campaign began talking about an &#8216;abortion reduction&#8217; agenda &#8212; helping reduce unintended pregnancies through education and birth control, and providing financial assistance to pregnant mothers to make it easier for them to carry a baby to term. They included language in the Democratic platform suggesting as such and Obama touted the idea in a few comments during debates. Dial-ometers soared when, during the third debate, he emphasized common ground on abortion and &#8216;sacred sex.&#8217;<br \/>\nAs the election approached, pro-life progressive ran radio and TV ads pushing the idea that one could be pro-life and pro-obama.<br \/>\n<strong>The Vice Presidential Pick<\/strong><br \/>\nMcCain&#8217;s selection of Sarah Palin created an opportunity for Obama. She revved up the evangelical base (possible by end of the night we&#8217;ll be saying the &#8216;traditionally Republican core of the evangelical base &#8211; or some other qualifier) but created greater concerns among mainline protestants, a group that had leaned Republican.<br \/>\nMeanwhile, Obama&#8217;s selection of Joe Biden was meant to improve his chances with white Catholics &#8212; not because Biden is a theological conservative but because he&#8217;s a cultural Catholic. Over and over, Biden tied the ticket&#8217;s economic messages to Catholic language&#8211; emphasizing, for instance, &#8216;the dignity of work.&#8217; This particularly seemed to help in the Catholic areas of Pennsylvania, where they know Biden well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The final exit polls pointed to a stunning conclusion: one ingredient to Obama&#8217;s victory was improvement among the most devoutly religious voters. Obama got 43% of weekly church-goers vs. 55% for McCain. In 2004, Bush got 61% vs. 39% for Kerry. What this means is that Bush beat Kerry by roughly 27 million among weekly&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Incredible Shrinking God Gap - Steven Waldman<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap - Steven Waldman\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The final exit polls pointed to a stunning conclusion: one ingredient to Obama&#8217;s victory was improvement among the most devoutly religious voters. Obama got 43% of weekly church-goers vs. 55% for McCain. In 2004, Bush got 61% vs. 39% for Kerry. What this means is that Bush beat Kerry by roughly 27 million among weekly&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Steven Waldman\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2008-11-05T10:23:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"swaldman\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap - Steven Waldman","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap - Steven Waldman","og_description":"The final exit polls pointed to a stunning conclusion: one ingredient to Obama&#8217;s victory was improvement among the most devoutly religious voters. Obama got 43% of weekly church-goers vs. 55% for McCain. In 2004, Bush got 61% vs. 39% for Kerry. What this means is that Bush beat Kerry by roughly 27 million among weekly&hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html","og_site_name":"Steven Waldman","article_published_time":"2008-11-05T10:23:36+00:00","author":"swaldman","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html","name":"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap - Steven Waldman","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/#website"},"datePublished":"2008-11-05T10:23:36+00:00","dateModified":"2008-11-05T10:23:36+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/#\/schema\/person\/f14bd19925fcfcd0bd7c74a678fddded"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/2008\/11\/the-incredible-shrinking-god-g.html#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The Incredible Shrinking God Gap"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/","name":"Steven Waldman","description":"Author of 'Founding Faith'","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/#\/schema\/person\/f14bd19925fcfcd0bd7c74a678fddded","name":"swaldman","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/e7f\/e7f50c10d0832a00d2b7690a72d45b5ex96.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/e7f\/e7f50c10d0832a00d2b7690a72d45b5ex96.jpg","caption":"swaldman"},"description":"Steven Waldman is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of Beliefnet. He's also the author of the Founding Faith: Politics, Providence, and the Birth of Religious Freedom in America, which has been published by Random House. Before co-founding Beliefnet in 1999, Waldman was a political journalist, serving as National Editor of U.S. News & World Report and National Correspondent for Newsweek. His writings have appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Post, National Review, The Atlantic, Slate, and many others.","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/author\/swaldman"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=476"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/476\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/stevenwaldman\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}