{"id":5932,"date":"2008-10-23T10:41:27","date_gmt":"2008-10-23T10:41:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html"},"modified":"2008-10-23T10:41:27","modified_gmt":"2008-10-23T10:41:27","slug":"the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html","title":{"rendered":"The polls are all over the place"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So, which one do we believe? <a href=\"http:\/\/ap.google.com\/article\/ALeqM5iNxTApa2sQRu0Xx99P3jt2bEXw7gD93VMKPG0\">AP has it dead even<\/a>, so does the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/RCP_PDF\/BG_102108_2-way-ballot-trender.pdf\">Battleground Poll<\/a> but <a href=\"http:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/s\/nm\/20081023\/pl_nm\/us_usa_politics_poll\">Reuters has Obama up 12<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.gallup.com\/poll\/111316\/Gallup-Daily-Obamas-Likely-Voter-Lead-Points.aspx\">Gallup has him up 5 among likely voters<\/a>. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ibdeditorials.com\/Polls.aspx?id=309546869309178\">The only poll to get it right in 2004 was IBD and they have Obama up 3.7<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nContrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD\/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama&#8217;s lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He&#8217;s also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he&#8217;s gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Since it&#8217;s been demonstrated in the past that it is accurate, it&#8217;s the one I&#8217;ll be watching until election day but if you want to be deluded into thinking Obama has this sown up, then stick with Reuters.<br \/>\nUpdate: OK,<a href=\"http:\/\/firstread.msnbc.msn.com\/archive\/2008\/10\/23\/1583632.aspx\"> then there&#8217;s this<\/a>. Either these polls are totally off or Obama is crushing in all of the battleground states??? Even Indiana?? Indianans would vote for a guy who will raise taxes on business, on individuals making less than $200,000 and is pro gun control. I find that hard to believe.<br \/>\nAnother update: OK,<a href=\"http:\/\/hamptonroads.com\/2008\/10\/poll-shows-dead-heat-between-obama-mccain-va-nc\"> this is why I think I&#8217;m going to ignore the polls from the battleground states<\/a>. Who knows who is right.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, which one do we believe? AP has it dead even, so does the Battleground Poll but Reuters has Obama up 12 and Gallup has him up 5 among likely voters. The only poll to get it right in 2004 was IBD and they have Obama up 3.7: Contrary to other polls, some of which&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":119,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[399],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics-2"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The polls are all over the place - Reformed Chicks Blabbing<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The polls are all over the place - Reformed Chicks Blabbing\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"So, which one do we believe? AP has it dead even, so does the Battleground Poll but Reuters has Obama up 12 and Gallup has him up 5 among likely voters. The only poll to get it right in 2004 was IBD and they have Obama up 3.7: Contrary to other polls, some of which&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Reformed Chicks Blabbing\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2008-10-23T10:41:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Susan Johnson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The polls are all over the place - Reformed Chicks Blabbing","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The polls are all over the place - Reformed Chicks Blabbing","og_description":"So, which one do we believe? AP has it dead even, so does the Battleground Poll but Reuters has Obama up 12 and Gallup has him up 5 among likely voters. The only poll to get it right in 2004 was IBD and they have Obama up 3.7: Contrary to other polls, some of which&hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html","og_site_name":"Reformed Chicks Blabbing","article_published_time":"2008-10-23T10:41:27+00:00","author":"Susan Johnson","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html","name":"The polls are all over the place - Reformed Chicks Blabbing","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/#website"},"datePublished":"2008-10-23T10:41:27+00:00","dateModified":"2008-10-23T10:41:27+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/#\/schema\/person\/b4e41455e911277a4681a65e81271065"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/2008\/10\/the-polls-are-all-over-the-pla.html#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The polls are all over the place"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/","name":"Reformed Chicks Blabbing","description":"Politics and current events from a Reformed perspective, by Michele McGinty","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/#\/schema\/person\/b4e41455e911277a4681a65e81271065","name":"Susan Johnson","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/020\/02041661cf28a19369e083191c05c819x96.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/020\/02041661cf28a19369e083191c05c819x96.jpg","caption":"Susan Johnson"},"url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/author\/sjohnson"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5932","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/119"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5932"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5932\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/reformedchicksblabbing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}