{"id":256,"date":"2008-11-04T20:56:25","date_gmt":"2008-11-04T20:56:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/progressiverevival\/2008\/11\/exit-polls-by-religious-affili.html"},"modified":"2008-11-04T20:56:25","modified_gmt":"2008-11-04T20:56:25","slug":"exit-polls-by-religious-affili","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/2008\/11\/exit-polls-by-religious-affili.html","title":{"rendered":"Exit Polls by Religious Affiliation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Steve Waldman has been breaking down the voter numbers by religious affiliation:<\/a>  <\/p>\n

Weekly Churchgoers vs. Occasionals<\/font><\/a><\/h2>\n
\n

\"election<\/font><\/a><\/span>One thing that puzzles me about these numbers: Obama’s progress among Catholics is with those who don’t attend mass weekly. But among Protestants, he improved among those who do attend weekly.<\/p>\n

One possible theory: abortion. Mass-attending Catholics are more likely to care about abortion than those who go less regularly. Protestant weekly attenders, on the other hand, include Mainline Protestants that are not necessarily pro-life. <\/p>\n

But that’s just a theory. Based on very preliminary exit polls.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Obama Winning Jews Overwhelmingly<\/font><\/a><\/h2>\n
\n

Early in the campaign, it looked like Obama would do worse among Jews than any Democrat in decades. Early<\/em> exit polls indicate that instead Obama is actually doing better than John Kerry<\/p>\n

Obama is winning 80%-18%. Kerry beat Bush 74%-25%<\/p>\n

\"election<\/a><\/span>\"election<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n

A Few More Obamagelicals<\/font><\/a><\/h3>\n
\n

Barack Obama had made a major effort to win white evangelicals. For several months, it looked as if his efforts were for naught.<\/p>\n

But the early exit polls show that Obama did make some progress. Bush beat Kerry 78%-21% in 2004. So far, McCain’s beating Obama 72%-26%<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Catholic Shift to Obama<\/font><\/a><\/h2>\n
\n

\"election<\/font><\/a><\/span>\"election<\/font><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/font><\/p>\n

The rap on Obama during the primaries was that he couldn’t win because he struggled with Catholics. Apparently, he got past that. Early exit polls indicate he won 54% of the Catholic vote compared to 45% for John McCain. George W. Bush won the Catholic vote 52%-46%.<\/p>\n

He also improved among white Catholics, according to the early exit polls. Bush got 56%-43% As of now, McCain lead by just 51%-49%<\/p>\n

This was despite an aggressive push by more than 50 Bishops to encourage Catholics to focus on abortion as the central issue.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n

The God Gap Narrows<\/font><\/a><\/h2>\n
\n

\"election<\/font><\/a><\/span>\"election<\/font><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

For several elections, Republicans have dominated among the most religious and Democrats among the secular.<\/p>\n

Based on the first wave of exit polls, Obama has narrowed the God Gap considerably, dramatically improving on John Kerry’s 2004 performance among those who attend church frequently.<\/p>\n

Bush beat Kerry among weekly church-goers by 61%-39%. McCain is beating Obama 54%-44%<\/p>\n

Another key group is the Sorta Religious. Those who attend a few times a month or a few times a year. Among those who attend a few times a month, went for Bush 50%-49%. Obama is winning this group, 52%-47%, according to the first wave of exit polls.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Steve Waldman has been breaking down the voter numbers by religious affiliation:  Weekly Churchgoers vs. Occasionals One thing that puzzles me about these numbers: Obama’s progress among Catholics is with those who don’t attend mass weekly. But among Protestants, he improved among those who do attend weekly. One possible theory: abortion. Mass-attending Catholics are more…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election-08"],"yoast_head":"\nExit Polls by Religious Affiliation - Progressive Revival<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/2008\/11\/exit-polls-by-religious-affili.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Exit Polls by Religious Affiliation - Progressive Revival\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Steve Waldman has been breaking down the voter numbers by religious affiliation:  Weekly Churchgoers vs. Occasionals One thing that puzzles me about these numbers: Obama’s progress among Catholics is with those who don’t attend mass weekly. 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Paul B. Raushenbush is the moderator of the Progressive Revival blog and the Associate Dean of Religious Life at Princeton University. .An ordained American Baptist minister, Rev. Raushenbush speaks and preaches at colleges, churches and institutes around the country including the College of Preachers at the National Cathedral in Washington D.C., The Chautauqua Institute in upstate New York, and the New America Foundation. Rev. Raushenbush has served at Seattle First Baptist Church, the Presbyterian Chaplaincy at Columbia University and as College and Young Adult Minister at The Riverside Church in New York City. He has appeared on ABC World News Tonight and is a repeated guest on CNN. He has been quoted in The New York Times and The Washington Post and is a contributing editor for Beliefnet.com. His first book, Teen Spirit: One World, Many Faiths (HCI) was released in the Fall of 2004. He is the editor of the 100th Anniversary edition of Walter Rauschenbusch\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s book Christianity and the Social Crisis \u00e2\u20ac\u201c In the 21st Century (HarperOne). His work at Princeton includes strengthening the interfaith community on campus. He is the Co-Director of the Program on Religion, Diplomacy and International Relations at The Liechtenstein Institute on Self Determination at Princeton University. Rev. Raushenbush studied religion at Macalester College before attending Union Theological Seminary in New York City where he graduated with distinction.","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/author\/praushenbush"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/256\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/progressiverevival\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}