{"id":2610,"date":"2009-02-17T11:49:14","date_gmt":"2009-02-17T11:49:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/idolchatter\/2009\/02\/oscar-predictions-2009.html"},"modified":"2009-02-17T11:49:14","modified_gmt":"2009-02-17T11:49:14","slug":"oscar-predictions-2009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/idolchatter\/2009\/02\/oscar-predictions-2009.html","title":{"rendered":"Oscar Predictions 2009"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"frostnixonpic.jpg\"<\/span>My enthusiasm for this year’s Oscar extravaganza is at an all-time low, as I am disappointed in many of Oscar’s choices. Still, I can’t help but make my usual Oscar predictions. I like my odds this year of being right, but feel free to check back on Monday and jeer if I completely miss the mark.
\nBest Actor<\/strong>
\nThis will be the ceremony’s closest call. Will the “geezer” factor mean Richard Jenkins (“The Visitor”) and Frank Langella (“Frost\/Nixon”) will cancel each other out? How much does Oscar love the comeback kid, Mickey Rourke (“The Wrestler”)? I think this category could honestly go to anyone but Brad Pitt (“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”).
\nWho Will Win<\/em>: Frank Langella–though part of me has a sick feeling that Sean Penn (“Milk”) might be the upset.
\nWho Should Win<\/em>: Frank Langella should win for a challenging, memorable performance and for a lifetime of great work.
\nBest Actress<\/strong>
\nThe debate here is whether Oscar feels like it is time to give Kate Winslet (“The Reader”) her due after a bunch of nominations and losses or whether the Academy will honor Meryl Streep (“Doubt”) once again.
\nWho Will Win<\/em>: Kate Winslet
\nWho Should Win<\/em>: I think Kate is great , but really “Doubt” contained another quintessential Streep performance and Meryl should take home Oscar.<\/p>\n


\nBest Supporting Actress<\/strong>
\nIt’s another interesting category. Usually this one goes to a young newcomer, which would give Amy Adams (“Doubt”) or Viola Davis (“Doubt”) the edge. On the other hand, maybe it’s Marisa Tomei’s (“The Wrestler”) turn to win another statue, though Oscar may want to award hottie Penelope Cruz (“Vicky Cristina Barcelona”).
\nWho Will Win<\/em>: Amy Adams, because her star is on the rise and she didn’t win a couple years back for “Junebug.”
\nWho Should Win<\/em>: Viola Davis, who had less screen time but was riveting as the mom of the boy at the center of the conflict in “Doubt.”
\nBest Supporting Actor<\/strong>
\nIt’s the only category that is a slam dunk. I mean, I suppose Josh Brolin could pull an upset for “Milk,” but I doubt it. Get out the Kleenex, because it’s time to pay a tribute to Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”).
\nWho Will Win:<\/em> Heath Ledger
\nWho Should Win<\/em>: Heath Ledger
\nBest Picture<\/strong>
\nThis is an odd category because there is a strange mix of historical drama, modern melodrama, and fantasy. Only one of them was a huge commercial success and none of them really has the feel of a truly “important” film, but “Slumdog Millionaire” is close.
\nWho Will Win<\/em>: “Slumdog Millionaire” will win by default because the other movies haven’t had enough marketing steam, and in Hollywood terms the film qualifies as an inspiring choice.
\nWho Should Win:<\/em> Really, I wouldn’t pick any of these movies, but if I have to, I would chose “Frost\/Nixon” in a nose over “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.”
\n\"Amy<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

My enthusiasm for this year’s Oscar extravaganza is at an all-time low, as I am disappointed in many of Oscar’s choices. Still, I can’t help but make my usual Oscar predictions. I like my odds this year of being right, but feel free to check back on Monday and jeer if I completely miss the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fbia_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-movies"],"yoast_head":"\nOscar Predictions 2009<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/idolchatter\/2009\/02\/oscar-predictions-2009.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oscar Predictions 2009\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"My enthusiasm for this year’s Oscar extravaganza is at an all-time low, as I am disappointed in many of Oscar’s choices. 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