{"id":105,"date":"2008-11-05T08:38:11","date_gmt":"2008-11-05T08:38:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/postelection-musings.html"},"modified":"2008-11-05T08:38:11","modified_gmt":"2008-11-05T08:38:11","slug":"postelection-musings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/postelection-musings.html","title":{"rendered":"Post-election musings"},"content":{"rendered":"

First, let’s see how I fared – my Electoral College prediction of 310 EVs for Obama<\/a> was obviously on the pessimistic side. Still, I called this election for Obama<\/a> last Friday, so for me it was never a question of whether Obama would win, but only by how much. I was overly generous in giving OH, FL and PA to McCain when in fact he lost all three. I was correct about Nevada and Virginia, the latter a historic win in and of itself, but these weren’t particularly bold calls on my part since many other pundits predicted the same. Missouri is still to close to call, and I was wrong about Montana and Georgia, but I was spectacularly correct about Indiana, which went to Obama by a sliver, which is as significant, if not more so, as the Virginia win. As it stands, Obama is at 349 EVs without MO and GA, so by my reckoning I was off by 57 – 68 EVs depending on how MO goes. That’s 87-89% accurate. In other words, I’m nowhere near as good as Nate Silver, who nailed it<\/a> across the board. <\/p>\n

In no particular order, some additional thoughts:<\/p>\n