{"id":100,"date":"2008-11-04T17:06:24","date_gmt":"2008-11-04T17:06:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.beliefnet.com\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html"},"modified":"2008-11-04T17:06:24","modified_gmt":"2008-11-04T17:06:24","slug":"ignore-the-exit-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html","title":{"rendered":"ignore the exit polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With one hour to go before the polls close in Indiana and the first returns start trickling in, the&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/x.techwheat.com\/36Z\">exit polls are already being leaked<\/a>. <b>Ignore them<\/b>. Mark Blumenthal notes that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pollster.com\/blogs\/looking_for_presidential_exit.php\">there are numerous problems with exit polls<\/a>, including overstating Democratic support and &#8220;refusal bias&#8221;. Also, the networks will begin to report &#8220;composite&#8221; exit polls as soon as the polls close, but these are actually a mix of exit polling and pre-election polling &#8211; in other words, probably not reflective of reality until later in the evening. Nate Silver also offers <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fivethirtyeight.com\/2008\/11\/ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit.html\">ten more reasons<\/a> for ignoring exit polls tonight. <\/p>\n<p>The best way to keep tabs on what&#8217;s going down tonight is probably Daily Kos&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/scoreboard.dailykos.com\/map\/\">real-time scoreboard<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/election.twitter.com\/\">Twitter<\/a> &#8211; particularly <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/nprpolitics\">@nprpolitics<\/a>. Also, Patrick Ruffini is going to be <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenextright.com\/patrick-ruffini\/the-next-rights-election-night-coverage\">directly monitoring the county-by-county results<\/a> and will be able to call states earlier than the media.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With one hour to go before the polls close in Indiana and the first returns start trickling in, the&nbsp; exit polls are already being leaked. Ignore them. Mark Blumenthal notes that there are numerous problems with exit polls, including overstating Democratic support and &#8220;refusal bias&#8221;. Also, the networks will begin to report &#8220;composite&#8221; exit polls&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":165,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[134,26,95],"class_list":["post-100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-purple-politics","tag-election-day-08","tag-politics","tag-presidential-election"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ignore the exit polls - City of Brass<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ignore the exit polls - City of Brass\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With one hour to go before the polls close in Indiana and the first returns start trickling in, the&nbsp; exit polls are already being leaked. Ignore them. Mark Blumenthal notes that there are numerous problems with exit polls, including overstating Democratic support and &#8220;refusal bias&#8221;. Also, the networks will begin to report &#8220;composite&#8221; exit polls&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"City of Brass\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2008-11-04T17:06:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aziz Poonawalla\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ignore the exit polls - City of Brass","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"ignore the exit polls - City of Brass","og_description":"With one hour to go before the polls close in Indiana and the first returns start trickling in, the&nbsp; exit polls are already being leaked. Ignore them. Mark Blumenthal notes that there are numerous problems with exit polls, including overstating Democratic support and &#8220;refusal bias&#8221;. Also, the networks will begin to report &#8220;composite&#8221; exit polls&hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html","og_site_name":"City of Brass","article_published_time":"2008-11-04T17:06:24+00:00","author":"Aziz Poonawalla","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html","name":"ignore the exit polls - City of Brass","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/#website"},"datePublished":"2008-11-04T17:06:24+00:00","dateModified":"2008-11-04T17:06:24+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/#\/schema\/person\/87dfd5533a0222456bb5ad6eaf152fbb"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/2008\/11\/ignore-the-exit-polls.html#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ignore the exit polls"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/","name":"City of Brass","description":"Beliefnet Voices - Aziz Poonawalla","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/#\/schema\/person\/87dfd5533a0222456bb5ad6eaf152fbb","name":"Aziz Poonawalla","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/a95\/a95f814e7f2984c887f3b03aed357433x96.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-content\/wphb-cache\/gravatar\/a95\/a95f814e7f2984c887f3b03aed357433x96.jpg","caption":"Aziz Poonawalla"},"description":"Aziz Poonawalla is a member of the Dawoodi Bohra Muslim community, and currently lives in Los Angeles with his wife and two children. City of Brass is his weblog, which was founded in 2002 under the name UNMEDIA. He is a co-founder of the annual Brass Crescent Awards. The name City of Brass refers to the Story of the City of Brass in the Thousand and One Nights, and the poem by Rudyard Kipling of the same name: Here was a people whom, after their works, thou shalt see wept over for their lost dominion; And in this palace is the last information respecting lords collected in the dust. -- Thousand and One Nights, Story of the City of Brass IN A land that the sand overlays, the ways to her gates are untrod, A multitude ended their days whose fates were made splendid by God, Till they grew drunk and were smitten with madness and went to their fall, And of these is a story written: but Allah Alone knoweth all! -- Rudyard Kipling, The City of Brass (1909)"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/165"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.beliefnet.com\/columnists\/cityofbrass\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}