Beliefnet
God-O-Meter

obama35.jpgPolitico’s Mike Allen reports that the Republican National Committee will release a strategy memo today on “DEMOCRATIC DISUNITY,” arguing that Obama has vulnerabilities in spades:

Obama is not wearing well as a candidate and has lost momentum since his high point in February. The more people learn about him and his views, the less they support him. Since March 4, he has lost a majority of primaries to Senator Clinton, including the all-important states of Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and West Virginia. He lost Kentucky by 35 points, West Virginia by 41 points, and suffered a 36-point defeat in Puerto Rico. Were it not for the Democratic proportional system of delegate allocation, these devastating defeats might very well have derailed his nomination.

Reading that passage, God-o-Meter got to wondering how big a role the Rev. Wright controversy played in Clinton’s fourth-quarter resurgence this primary season and, by extension, the shadow that the flap might cast on Obama in the general election.
ABC News broke the story about Wright’s fiery sermons on March 13, by which time Clinton had already won the Ohio and Texas primaries, setting the sage for her second act. But Clinton’s wins in Pennsylvania, Indiana, West Virginia, and Kentucky all came after the Wright story broke.
Would she have won all those states anyway? Probably. But could the margins have been a lot tighter, making Obama seem stronger going in the general? God-o-Meter thinks so. How ’bout you?


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