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Election projection: Obama 305, McCain 233
By
Aziz Poonawalla
Happy election day! (Some crazy towns in New Hampshire started voting at midnight). Courtesy of Nate Silver’s simulations, here’s how McCain might win. The most plausible (but still improbable) scenario: Obama takes all the Gore and Kerry states, and McCain takes everything else. Everything else in this case includes states like Colorado (9 EV), where…
Obama will win Nevada
By
Aziz Poonawalla
In my projection, I gave McCain Nevada by default without really thinking about it. However, looking at the poll trends, it looks clear that Nevada is not even going to be close. Nevada has 5 electoral votes so it won’t make much difference either way. Still, that bumps up my worst-case scenario for Obama from…
Beliefnet.com exit poll
By
Aziz Poonawalla
If you haven’t already done so, please do take Beliefnet’s exit poll – and chime in here on comments with how you voted and why, if you like.
Obama’s hopes on the Hoosiers
By
Aziz Poonawalla
In my projection, I detailed why I think Obama might pull an upset win in Indiana, a statet hat went for Bush over Kerry by 20 points and hasn’t voted Blue since 1964. It should be noted that after voting this morning in Chicago, Obama went to Indianapolis: During his brief visit to Indianapolis this…
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